Climate change risk and the cost of mortgage credit
Nguyen, D.D.; Ongena, S.; Qi, S.; Sila, V. (2022). Climate change risk and the cost of mortgage credit. Review of Finance 26(6): 1509-1549. https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfac013
In: Review of Finance. OXFORD UNIV PRESS: Oxford. ISSN 1572-3097; e-ISSN 1573-692X, meer
We show that lenders charge higher interest rates for mortgages on properties exposed to a greater risk of sea level rise (SLR). This SLR premium is not evident in short-term loans and is not related to borrowers’ short-term realized default or creditworthiness. Further, the SLR premium is smaller when the consequences of climate change are less salient and in areas with more climate change deniers. Overall, our results suggest that mortgage lenders view the risk of SLR as a long-term risk and that attention and beliefs are potential barriers through which SLR risk is priced in residential mortgage markets.
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